Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Pankritio Stadium
OFI
26th · 3 pts0–2FULL TIME
Bayer Leverkusen
2nd · 9 pts27% OFI
25% Draw
48% Bayer
OUR PICK
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.60
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.68X4.0322.08
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
OFIBayer Leverkusen1.0Goals per game2.7
1.3Conceded per game0.0
1.00Points per game3.00
33%Win rate100%
-1Goal difference8
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
OFI form
WLWLLA Panetolikos0–1
A Larisa1–0
H PAOK2–1
H Bayer Leverkusen0–2
A Kalamata4–3
Bayer Leverkusen form
LWLWWH VfB Stuttgart2–4
H 1. FC Nürnberg5–2
A 1899 Hoffenheim3–0
A OFI0–2
H SC Freiburg2–1
Head to head
0
OFI
0
Draw
1
Bayer
Oct 2026OFI – Bayer Leverkusen0–2
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.14 for OFI, 1.60 for Bayer Leverkusen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
OFI sit 26th on 3 points; Bayer Leverkusen are 2nd on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.