Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 26Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Rimnersvallen
Oddevold
6th · 45 pts2–0FULL TIME
United Nordic
8th · 42 pts56% Oddevold
21% Draw
23% United
OUR PICK
Oddevold to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.32
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.80X4.8024.26
Goals 2.5Over1.50Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
64%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
OddevoldUnited Nordic1.7Goals per game1.6
1.3Conceded per game1.7
1.55Points per game1.45
41%Win rate38%
12Goal difference-4
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Oddevold form
WWLWLH IK brage2–1
H GIF Sundsvall7–0
A Osters IF3–1
H United Nordic2–0
H IFK Varnamo1–2
United Nordic form
WLWLDH GIF Sundsvall4–2
A Ostersunds FK4–1
H Norrby IF2–1
A Oddevold2–0
A Orebro SK1–1
Head to head
1
Oddevold
1
Draw
0
United
Oct 2026Oddevold – United Nordic2–0
Jun 2026United Nordic – Oddevold3–3
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Oddevold clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.12 for Oddevold, 1.32 for United Nordic), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Oddevold sit 6th on 45 points; United Nordic are 8th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.