Over 1.5 goals@2.20
Over 1.5
46%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 12Saturday, 7 November 2026
Obolon'-Brovar
14th · 7 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
Livyi Bereh
13th · 8 pts21% Obolon'-Brovar
35% Draw
43% Livyi
OUR PICK
Livyi Bereh to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
0.58 – 0.96
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.65X2.8522.31
Goals 2.5Over4.72Under1.25
Both scoreGG3.49NG1.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Under 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.37
NG
73%
Double chance@1.27
X2
79%
Season stats
Obolon'-BrovarLivyi Bereh0.4Goals per game0.7
1.7Conceded per game0.9
0.70Points per game0.89
10%Win rate11%
-13Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Obolon'-Brovar form
LWWDA Polessya3–0
H Veres Rivne2–0
H Kryvbas KR1–0
A Chornomorets1–1
Livyi Bereh form
LLDLLH Bukovyna0–1
H Veres Rivne0–1
H LNZ Cherkasy0–0
A FC Kharkiv2–1
H Zorya Luhansk1–3
Head to head
2
Obolon'-Brovar
3
Draw
0
Livyi
Jul 2026Livyi Bereh – Obolon'-Brovar2–2
May 2025Obolon'-Brovar – Livyi Bereh1–0
Nov 2024Livyi Bereh – Obolon'-Brovar1–1
Jun 2024Livyi Bereh – Obolon'-Brovar1–1
May 2024Obolon'-Brovar – Livyi Bereh1–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes Livyi Bereh slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 35% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.58 for Obolon'-Brovar, 0.96 for Livyi Bereh), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Obolon'-Brovar sit 14th on 7 points; Livyi Bereh are 13th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.