Over 1.5 goals@1.73
Over 1.5
58%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Obolon Arena
Obolon'-Brovar
14th · 7 pts11:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kryvbas KR
15th · 6 pts30% Obolon'-Brovar
31% Draw
39% Kryvbas
OUR PICK
Kryvbas KR to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.05
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.32X3.2022.59
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.44
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.62
NG
62%
Double chance@1.43
X2
70%
Season stats
Obolon'-BrovarKryvbas KR0.4Goals per game0.8
1.7Conceded per game1.7
0.70Points per game0.67
10%Win rate11%
-13Goal difference-8
4Form, last 5 (pts)1
Obolon'-Brovar form
LLWWDA Shakhtar Donetsk2–0
A Polessya3–0
H Veres Rivne2–0
H Kryvbas KR1–0
A Chornomorets1–1
Kryvbas KR form
LDDLLH Dynamo Kyiv0–2
A Zorya Luhansk1–1
A Bukovyna0–0
H LNZ Cherkasy0–3
A Obolon'-Brovar1–0
Head to head
1
Obolon'-Brovar
1
Draw
3
Kryvbas
Oct 2026Obolon'-Brovar – Kryvbas KR1–0
Mar 2026Obolon'-Brovar – Kryvbas KR0–0
Aug 2025Kryvbas KR – Obolon'-Brovar2–1
May 2025Kryvbas KR – Obolon'-Brovar1–0
Nov 2024Obolon'-Brovar – Kryvbas KR0–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Obolon'-Brovar 30%, the draw 31%, Kryvbas KR 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.89 for Obolon'-Brovar, 1.05 for Kryvbas KR), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Obolon'-Brovar sit 14th on 7 points; Kryvbas KR are 15th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.