Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 26Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio El Teniente
O'Higgins
12th · 31 pts1–0FULL TIME
Nublense
8th · 35 pts42% O'Higgins
26% Draw
32% Nublense
OUR PICK
O'Higgins to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.18
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.38X3.8023.16
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
O'HigginsNublense1.2Goals per game1.2
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.19Points per game1.35
35%Win rate35%
-9Goal difference-9
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
O'Higgins form
No recent matches.
Nublense form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
O'Higgins
0
Draw
0
Nublense
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile25+2548
3U. Catolica25+1543
4Everton de Vina25+1039
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena25-333
10Concepción25-332
Match preview
Our model makes O'Higgins slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.40 for O'Higgins, 1.18 for Nublense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
O'Higgins sit 12th on 31 points; Nublense are 8th on 35.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.