Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
ROULiga I · Matchday 14Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Stadionul Oțelul
Oţelul
13th · 12 pts1–1FULL TIME
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
11th · 15 pts50% Oţelul
28% Draw
22% Sepsi
OUR PICK
Oţelul to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.81
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.00X3.6024.51
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
59%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Season stats
OţelulSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1.1Goals per game0.6
1.6Conceded per game1.4
0.86Points per game1.07
14%Win rate21%
-6Goal difference-10
2Form, last 5 (pts)2
Oţelul form
No recent matches.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Oţelul
0
Draw
0
Sepsi
These sides haven't met recently.
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti13+2030
2Rapid14+1030
3Universitatea Craiova13+2329
4Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
5Universitatea Cluj13+522
6FCSB13+121
7Farul Constanta13+120
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9Uta Arad13-118
10CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
Match preview
Our model makes Oţelul slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.37 for Oţelul, 0.81 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Oţelul sit 13th on 12 points; Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe are 11th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.