ROULiga I · Matchday 12Friday, 16 October 2026 · Stadionul Otelul

Oţelul

13th · 12 pts
1–1FULL TIME

Csikszereda

16th · 5 pts
63% Oţelul
22% Draw
15% Csikszereda
OUR PICK
Oţelul to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.81
Confidence
High

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X211.59X4.6326.52
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.89

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.89
NG
53%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%

Season stats

OţelulCsikszereda
1.1Goals per game0.6
1.6Conceded per game2.0
0.86Points per game0.36
14%Win rate7%
-6Goal difference-19
2Form, last 5 (pts)4

Oţelul form

DLDLD
H Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1–1
A Farul Constanta4–3
H Csikszereda1–1
A FCSB1–0
H FC Bacau1–1

Csikszereda form

LLWDL
A Rapid2–0
H Bihor Oradea1–2
H FC Voluntari2–1
A Oţelul1–1
H Universitatea Craiova0–1

Head to head

2
Oţelul
2
Draw
1
Csikszereda
Oct 2026Oţelul – Csikszereda1–1
Mar 2026Oţelul – Csikszereda2–3
Jan 2026Oţelul – Csikszereda3–0
Dec 2025Csikszereda – Oţelul1–2
Sept 2025Csikszereda – Oţelul1–1

Liga I table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Universitatea Cluj14+625
5Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
6Farul Constanta14+223
7FCSB14021
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318

Match preview

Our model makes Oţelul clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.90 for Oţelul, 0.81 for Csikszereda), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Oţelul sit 13th on 12 points; Csikszereda are 16th on 5.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.