Over 1.5 goals@1.79
Over 1.5
56%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Monday, 26 October 2026 · Estadio Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
1–1FULL TIME
San Martin S.J.
28% Nueva
32% Draw
40% San
OUR PICK
San Martin S.J. to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.48
Expected goals
0.82 – 1.05
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.58X3.1422.48
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.40
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.57
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.40
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.57
NG
64%
Double chance@1.39
X2
72%
Nueva Chicago form
LDLLLA Chacarita Juniors2–0
H San Martin S.J.1–1
H Gimnasia Jujuy0–1
A Temperley2–1
H Deportivo Maipu0–1
San Martin S.J. form
WDDDLH Gimnasia Jujuy5–1
A Nueva Chicago1–1
H Temperley1–1
A Deportivo Maipu1–1
H Almagro1–2
Head to head
1
Nueva
2
Draw
2
San
Oct 2026Nueva Chicago – San Martin S.J.1–1
Aug 2026San Martin S.J. – Nueva Chicago1–0
Dec 2024San Martin S.J. – Nueva Chicago1–0
Nov 2024Nueva Chicago – San Martin S.J.2–1
Aug 2023Nueva Chicago – San Martin S.J.0–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes San Martin S.J. slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.82 for Nueva Chicago, 1.05 for San Martin S.J.), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.