Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 34Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
0–1FULL TIME
Gimnasia Jujuy
34% Nueva
27% Draw
39% Gimnasia
OUR PICK
Gimnasia Jujuy to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.27
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.92X3.6622.60
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
Nueva Chicago form
DLLLWH San Martin S.J.1–1
H Gimnasia Jujuy0–1
A Temperley2–1
H Deportivo Maipu0–1
A Almagro0–1
Gimnasia Jujuy form
LLWDLA San Martin S.J.5–1
H Atlanta1–2
A Nueva Chicago0–1
H Gimnasia Y Tiro2–2
A Temperley2–1
Head to head
1
Nueva
0
Draw
4
Gimnasia
Oct 2026Nueva Chicago – Gimnasia Jujuy0–1
Jun 2026Gimnasia Jujuy – Nueva Chicago4–0
Sept 2025Nueva Chicago – Gimnasia Jujuy1–0
May 2025Gimnasia Jujuy – Nueva Chicago2–1
Jul 2022Gimnasia Jujuy – Nueva Chicago2–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Nueva Chicago 34%, the draw 27%, Gimnasia Jujuy 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.18 for Nueva Chicago, 1.27 for Gimnasia Jujuy), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.