CHIPrimera División · Matchday 25Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas

Nublense

8th · 35 pts

2–1FULL TIME

Coquimbo Unido

7th · 35 pts

33% Nublense

26% Draw

41% Coquimbo

OUR PICK

Coquimbo Unido to win

Model probability 41% · fair odds

2.44

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.42

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X213.02X3.8622.44

Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.00

Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.34

Over 1.5

75%

Over/Under 2.5@2.00

Under 2.5

50%

Both teams to score@1.85

54%

Double chance@1.35

74%

Season stats

NublenseCoquimbo Unido

1.2Goals per game1.5

1.5Conceded per game1.4

1.35Points per game1.40

35%Win rate40%

-9Goal difference3

3Form, last 5 (pts)6

Nublense form

LWLWL

A O'Higgins1–0

H Coquimbo Unido2–1

A Universidad de Chile6–0

H D. Puerto Montt2–1

A D. Puerto Montt2–0

Coquimbo Unido form

WLWWW

H Union La Calera1–0

A Nublense2–1

H Colo Colo5–2

H Cobreloa2–1

A Cobreloa1–2

Head to head

Nublense

Draw

Coquimbo

Oct 2026Nublense – Coquimbo Unido2–1

Apr 2026Coquimbo Unido – Nublense1–1

Sept 2025Coquimbo Unido – Nublense2–1

Apr 2025Nublense – Coquimbo Unido0–0

Jul 2024Coquimbo Unido – Nublense1–0

Primera División table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Colo Colo26+2858

2Universidad de Chile25+2548

3U. Catolica25+1543

4Everton de Vina25+1039

5Palestino25+338

6Deportes Limache25+937

7Coquimbo Unido25+335

8Nublense26-935

9D. La Serena25-333

10Concepción25-332

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Nublense 33%, the draw 26%, Coquimbo Unido 41%.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.25 for Nublense, 1.42 for Coquimbo Unido), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Nublense sit 8th on 35 points; Coquimbo Unido are 7th on 35.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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