Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 27Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas
Nublense
9th · 35 pts22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Colo Colo
1st · 58 pts21% Nublense
22% Draw
58% Colo
OUR PICK
Colo Colo to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.95
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.85X4.5821.74
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
57%
Double chance@1.26
X2
79%
Season stats
NublenseColo Colo1.2Goals per game2.2
1.5Conceded per game1.1
1.35Points per game2.23
35%Win rate69%
-9Goal difference28
3Form, last 5 (pts)6
Nublense form
LWLWLA O'Higgins1–0
H Coquimbo Unido2–1
A Universidad de Chile6–0
H D. Puerto Montt2–1
A D. Puerto Montt2–0
Colo Colo form
WDLWWH Universidad de Concepcion6–1
A Palestino1–1
A Coquimbo Unido5–2
A D. Puerto Montt0–1
H A. Italiano1–0
Head to head
1
Nublense
1
Draw
3
Colo
May 2026Colo Colo – Nublense6–2
Nov 2025Nublense – Colo Colo0–1
May 2025Colo Colo – Nublense2–2
Aug 2024Colo Colo – Nublense2–1
Apr 2024Nublense – Colo Colo3–0
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Deportes Limache26+1140
5Everton de Vina26+1040
6Palestino26+238
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Concepción26-235
9Nublense26-935
10D. La Serena26-334
Match preview
Our model makes Colo Colo clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.08 for Nublense, 1.95 for Colo Colo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nublense sit 9th on 35 points; Colo Colo are 1st on 58.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.