Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
BRASerie B · Matchday 36Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biase
Novorizontino
2nd · 64 pts22:30KICK-OFF WAT
Operario-PR
10th · 51 pts66% Novorizontino
20% Draw
14% Operario-PR
OUR PICK
Novorizontino to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.87
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.51X5.1327.03
Goals 2.5Over1.74Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.95NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.95
GG
51%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
NovorizontinoOperario-PR1.8Goals per game1.3
0.9Conceded per game1.3
1.83Points per game1.46
51%Win rate40%
32Goal difference-1
13Form, last 5 (pts)3
Novorizontino form
No recent matches.
Operario-PR form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Novorizontino
0
Draw
0
Operario-PR
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
Match preview
Our model makes Novorizontino clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.13 for Novorizontino, 0.87 for Operario-PR), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Novorizontino sit 2nd on 64 points; Operario-PR are 10th on 51.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.