Over 1.5 goals@1.73
Over 1.5
58%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 15Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Gradski Stadion
Novi Pazar
10th · 16 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Mladost Lucani
8th · 18 pts45% Novi
31% Draw
24% Mladost
OUR PICK
Novi Pazar to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.21
Expected goals
1.17 – 0.77
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.21X3.2724.13
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.44
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
Season stats
Novi PazarMladost Lucani0.9Goals per game0.9
1.1Conceded per game1.4
1.14Points per game1.29
29%Win rate29%
-3Goal difference-7
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Novi Pazar form
LWWLLA Radnicki 19232–0
A FK Vozdovac1–3
A Radnicki NIS0–2
H IMT Novi Beograd1–2
A FK Partizan1–0
Mladost Lucani form
DDLDWA Teleoptik1–1
H Vojvodina1–1
A FK Crvena Zvezda5–1
H OFK Beograd0–0
A Macva1–2
Head to head
2
Novi
2
Draw
1
Mladost
Jul 2026Mladost Lucani – Novi Pazar0–0
Jun 2026Mladost Lucani – Novi Pazar3–1
Mar 2026Mladost Lucani – Novi Pazar0–2
Oct 2025Novi Pazar – Mladost Lucani1–0
Jul 2025Novi Pazar – Mladost Lucani1–1
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes Novi Pazar slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.21 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.17 for Novi Pazar, 0.77 for Mladost Lucani), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Novi Pazar sit 10th on 16 points; Mladost Lucani are 8th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.