Over 1.5 goals@2.24
Over 1.5
45%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 12Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Gradski Stadion
Novi Pazar
10th · 16 pts1–2FULL TIME
IMT Novi Beograd
5th · 22 pts27% Novi
36% Draw
36% IMT
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.74
Expected goals
0.68 – 0.83
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.65X2.7422.77
Goals 2.5Over4.97Under1.24
Both scoreGG3.37NG1.39
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.24
Under 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.39
NG
72%
Double chance@1.38
X2
73%
Season stats
Novi PazarIMT Novi Beograd0.9Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game0.6
1.14Points per game1.57
29%Win rate43%
-3Goal difference6
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Novi Pazar form
LWWLLA Radnicki 19232–0
A FK Vozdovac1–3
A Radnicki NIS0–2
H IMT Novi Beograd1–2
A FK Partizan1–0
IMT Novi Beograd form
DLLWWH Cukaricki0–0
A Grafičar2–0
H Železničar Pančevo0–1
A Novi Pazar1–2
H Radnik Surdulica1–0
Head to head
2
Novi
1
Draw
2
IMT
Oct 2026Novi Pazar – IMT Novi Beograd1–2
Dec 2025IMT Novi Beograd – Novi Pazar2–3
Aug 2025Novi Pazar – IMT Novi Beograd1–2
Mar 2025IMT Novi Beograd – Novi Pazar0–0
Nov 2024Novi Pazar – IMT Novi Beograd3–1
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Cukaricki14-119
7Mladost Lucani13-618
8FK Partizan14017
9Radnik Surdulica13017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Novi Pazar 27%, the draw 36%, IMT Novi Beograd 36%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.5 goals in total (0.68 for Novi Pazar, 0.83 for IMT Novi Beograd), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Novi Pazar sit 10th on 16 points; IMT Novi Beograd are 5th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.