Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Meadow Lane
Notts County
17th · 14 pts1–1FULL TIME
Stockport County
2nd · 26 pts27% Notts
27% Draw
46% Stockport
OUR PICK
Stockport County to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.69X3.7422.16
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Notts CountyStockport County1.1Goals per game1.9
1.2Conceded per game1.0
1.17Points per game1.86
25%Win rate57%
-1Goal difference12
7Form, last 5 (pts)10
Notts County form
WDWLWA Mansfield Town0–2
H Stockport County1–1
H Sheffield Wednesday2–0
A Wycombe2–0
H Nottingham Forest U215–1
Stockport County form
WLDWWH AFC Wimbledon2–1
A Oxford United1–0
A Notts County1–1
A Doncaster0–2
H Bromley1–0
Head to head
1
Notts
1
Draw
3
Stockport
Oct 2026Notts County – Stockport County1–1
Apr 2024Notts County – Stockport County2–5
Dec 2023Stockport County – Notts County2–1
Mar 2022Stockport County – Notts County3–0
Oct 2021Notts County – Stockport County2–1
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Stockport County slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.02 for Notts County, 1.42 for Stockport County), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Notts County sit 17th on 14 points; Stockport County are 2nd on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.