NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 22Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Idrettsparken Notodden

Notodden

6th · 38 pts

1–3FULL TIME

Eik-Tønsberg

13th · 13 pts

77% Notodden

14% Draw

9% Eik-Tønsberg

OUR PICK

Notodden to win

Model probability 77% · fair odds

1.29

Expected goals

2.67 – 0.78

Confidence

Very high

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.29X7.03211.75

Goals 2.5Over1.50Under2.86

Both scoreGG1.98NG1.89

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.17

Over 1.5

86%

Over/Under 2.5@1.50

Over 2.5

67%

Both teams to score@1.98

50%

Double chance@1.09

91%

Season stats

NotoddenEik-Tønsberg

1.7Goals per game1.1

1.3Conceded per game2.4

1.46Points per game0.50

42%Win rate15%

8Goal difference-35

3Form, last 5 (pts)6

Notodden form

WLLLL

H Vidar5–1

A Sotra5–2

H Pors Grenland3–4

A Bjarg5–2

H Eik-Tønsberg1–3

Eik-Tønsberg form

LWLLW

A jerv7–0

H Kvik Halden3–0

A Arendal3–0

H Lysekloster1–3

A Notodden1–3

Head to head

Notodden

Draw

Eik-Tønsberg

Oct 2026Notodden – Eik-Tønsberg1–3

Apr 2026Eik-Tønsberg – Notodden0–1

Oct 2025Notodden – Eik-Tønsberg0–1

Apr 2025Eik-Tønsberg – Notodden1–1

Feb 2025Eik-Tønsberg – Notodden0–0

2. Division - Group 1 table

#TeamGPGDPts

1jerv26+3059

2Bjarg26+2954

3Mjondalen26+1653

4Brattvåg26+2051

5Sotra26+3048

6Notodden26+838

7Træff26-638

8Kvik Halden26+137

9Arendal26-631

10Pors Grenland26-530

Match preview

Our model makes Notodden clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.67 for Notodden, 0.78 for Eik-Tønsberg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Notodden sit 6th on 38 points; Eik-Tønsberg are 13th on 13.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on Telegram More 2. Division - Group 1 tips