Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Carrow Road
Norwich
15th · 15 pts3–2FULL TIME
Watford
21st · 11 pts62% Norwich
20% Draw
18% Watford
OUR PICK
Norwich to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.12
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.62X5.0525.44
Goals 2.5Over1.55Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.23
1X
82%
Season stats
NorwichWatford1.8Goals per game0.9
1.8Conceded per game1.8
1.15Points per game0.85
38%Win rate23%
-1Goal difference-11
6Form, last 5 (pts)3
Norwich form
No recent matches.
Watford form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Norwich
0
Draw
0
Watford
These sides haven't met recently.
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model makes Norwich clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.20 for Norwich, 1.12 for Watford), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Norwich sit 15th on 15 points; Watford are 21st on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.