Over 1.5 goals@1.92
Over 1.5
52%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 9Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Sixfields Stadium
Northampton
20th · 14 pts20:45KICK-OFF WAT
Oldham
21st · 12 pts44% Northampton
33% Draw
23% Oldham
OUR PICK
Northampton to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.07 – 0.68
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.25X3.0824.34
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.34
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
68%
Double chance@1.30
1X
77%
Season stats
NorthamptonOldham0.8Goals per game1.1
0.8Conceded per game1.5
1.17Points per game0.92
25%Win rate23%
0Goal difference-5
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Northampton form
No recent matches.
Oldham form
No recent matches.
Head to head
3
Northampton
1
Draw
1
Oldham
Nov 2025Oldham – Northampton3–1
Apr 2022Oldham – Northampton0–2
Nov 2021Northampton – Oldham2–1
Nov 2019Oldham – Northampton2–2
May 2019Oldham – Northampton2–5
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Northampton slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.07 for Northampton, 0.68 for Oldham), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Northampton sit 20th on 14 points; Oldham are 21st on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.