Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 26Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Borås Arena
Norrby IF
14th · 27 pts2–0FULL TIME
Osters IF
7th · 42 pts32% Norrby
25% Draw
44% Osters
OUR PICK
Osters IF to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.58
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.15X4.0722.29
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.72NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.72
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Norrby IFOsters IF1.1Goals per game1.6
1.5Conceded per game1.6
0.93Points per game1.50
17%Win rate46%
-13Goal difference1
4Form, last 5 (pts)9
Norrby IF form
LLLWDH IFK Varnamo0–3
H IFK Norrkoping0–4
A United Nordic2–1
H Osters IF2–0
A Helsingborg0–0
Osters IF form
WWLLLA IK brage4–5
H Oddevold3–1
A Norrby IF2–0
A Halmstad3–2
H IFK Norrkoping1–3
Head to head
2
Norrby
1
Draw
2
Osters
Oct 2026Norrby IF – Osters IF2–0
May 2026Osters IF – Norrby IF2–1
Oct 2022Norrby IF – Osters IF2–0
May 2022Osters IF – Norrby IF2–0
Oct 2021Norrby IF – Osters IF0–0
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Osters IF slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.31 for Norrby IF, 1.58 for Osters IF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Norrby IF sit 14th on 27 points; Osters IF are 7th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.