Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 29Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Borås Arena
Norrby IF
14th · 27 pts0–3FULL TIME
IFK Varnamo
10th · 35 pts45% Norrby
26% Draw
29% IFK
OUR PICK
Norrby IF to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.22
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.14
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.22X3.8723.43
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Norrby IFIFK Varnamo1.1Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game1.7
0.93Points per game1.21
17%Win rate34%
-13Goal difference-10
4Form, last 5 (pts)9
Norrby IF form
LLLWDH IFK Varnamo0–3
H IFK Norrkoping0–4
A United Nordic2–1
H Osters IF2–0
A Helsingborg0–0
IFK Varnamo form
WLWLWA Norrby IF0–3
H Sandviken0–1
A GIF Sundsvall0–1
H Falkenbergs FF1–2
A Oddevold1–2
Head to head
3
Norrby
1
Draw
1
IFK
Oct 2026Norrby IF – IFK Varnamo0–3
May 2026IFK Varnamo – Norrby IF2–2
Nov 2021IFK Varnamo – Norrby IF1–2
Jun 2021Norrby IF – IFK Varnamo2–0
Mar 2020Norrby IF – IFK Varnamo6–1
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Norrby IF slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.48 for Norrby IF, 1.14 for IFK Varnamo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Norrby IF sit 14th on 27 points; IFK Varnamo are 10th on 35.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.