Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
68%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 28Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Borås Arena
Norrby IF
14th · 27 pts0–4FULL TIME
IFK Norrkoping
1st · 65 pts14% Norrby
23% Draw
63% IFK
OUR PICK
IFK Norrkoping to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
0.66 – 1.71
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X217.15X4.2921.59
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.73
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.65
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.65
NG
60%
Double chance@1.16
X2
86%
Season stats
Norrby IFIFK Norrkoping1.1Goals per game2.1
1.5Conceded per game0.6
0.93Points per game2.24
17%Win rate69%
-13Goal difference43
4Form, last 5 (pts)13
Norrby IF form
LLLWDH IFK Varnamo0–3
H IFK Norrkoping0–4
A United Nordic2–1
H Osters IF2–0
A Helsingborg0–0
IFK Norrkoping form
WWDWDH Ostersunds FK3–0
A Norrby IF0–4
H Orebro SK2–2
H GIF Sundsvall4–0
H Kalmar FF0–0
Head to head
1
Norrby
1
Draw
1
IFK
Oct 2026Norrby IF – IFK Norrkoping0–4
Jun 2026IFK Norrkoping – Norrby IF0–1
Mar 2026Norrby IF – IFK Norrkoping1–1
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes IFK Norrkoping clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (0.66 for Norrby IF, 1.71 for IFK Norrkoping), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Norrby IF sit 14th on 27 points; IFK Norrkoping are 1st on 65.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.