Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 5Saturday, 24 October 2026
Nkwazi
7th · 0 pts0–0FULL TIME
Green Eagles
6th · 0 pts44% Nkwazi
25% Draw
30% Green
OUR PICK
Nkwazi to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
NkwaziGreen Eagles0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Nkwazi form
DDDDH ZESCO United0–0
H Green Eagles0–0
A Green Buffaloes0–0
H Chirundu Utd0–0
Green Eagles form
DDWWH Kabwe Warriors0–0
A Nkwazi0–0
H Roan United1–0
A ZESCO United0–1
Head to head
1
Nkwazi
3
Draw
1
Green
Oct 2026Nkwazi – Green Eagles0–0
Mar 2026Green Eagles – Nkwazi1–0
Oct 2025Nkwazi – Green Eagles1–1
Feb 2025Green Eagles – Nkwazi0–1
Sept 2024Nkwazi – Green Eagles0–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes Nkwazi slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Nkwazi, 1.21 for Green Eagles), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nkwazi sit 7th on 0 points; Green Eagles are 6th on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.