Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 4Sunday, 18 October 2026
Nkana
3rd · 0 pts2–0FULL TIME
Nchanga Rangers
2nd · 0 pts44% Nkana
25% Draw
30% Nchanga
OUR PICK
Nkana to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
NkanaNchanga Rangers0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Nkana form
DLWWA Power Dynamos0–0
A Konkola Blades2–0
H Nchanga Rangers2–0
H Makeni All Stars4–1
Nchanga Rangers form
DWLLH Man Utd Zambia Academy0–0
A NAPSA Stars0–1
A Nkana2–0
A Power Dynamos1–0
Head to head
1
Nkana
2
Draw
2
Nchanga
Oct 2026Nkana – Nchanga Rangers2–0
May 2026Nkana – Nchanga Rangers0–1
Dec 2025Nchanga Rangers – Nkana1–1
Feb 2025Nchanga Rangers – Nkana2–0
Oct 2024Nkana – Nchanga Rangers0–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes Nkana slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Nkana, 1.21 for Nchanga Rangers), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nkana sit 3rd on 0 points; Nchanga Rangers are 2nd on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.