Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
CROHNL · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Stadion Varteks
NK Varazdin
4th · 19 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Dinamo Zagreb
2nd · 22 pts39% NK
26% Draw
35% Dinamo
OUR PICK
NK Varazdin to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.30
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.59X3.8522.83
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.00
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@2.00
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
NK VarazdinDinamo Zagreb1.3Goals per game2.3
0.9Conceded per game1.3
1.58Points per game2.00
42%Win rate64%
5Goal difference11
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
NK Varazdin form
DDLLWA HNK Rijeka1–1
H NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
H NK Slaven Belupo1–2
A HNK Hajduk Split1–0
A NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–1
Dinamo Zagreb form
LWLWWA Rudes1–0
H HNK Rijeka2–1
H NEC Nijmegen2–4
A NK Slaven Belupo1–5
H Anderlecht1–0
Head to head
0
NK
1
Draw
4
Dinamo
Aug 2026Dinamo Zagreb – NK Varazdin3–1
Apr 2026Dinamo Zagreb – NK Varazdin2–1
Feb 2026NK Varazdin – Dinamo Zagreb0–4
Nov 2025Dinamo Zagreb – NK Varazdin3–1
Aug 2025NK Varazdin – Dinamo Zagreb2–2
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: NK Varazdin 39%, the draw 26%, Dinamo Zagreb 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.37 for NK Varazdin, 1.30 for Dinamo Zagreb), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NK Varazdin sit 4th on 19 points; Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.