Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
CROHNL · Matchday 12Friday, 30 October 2026 · Gradski Stadion
NK Slaven Belupo
7th · 13 pts0–2FULL TIME
Istra 1961
6th · 16 pts32% NK
22% Draw
46% Istra
OUR PICK
Istra 1961 to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.20
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.91
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.08X4.5422.20
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.47NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.47
GG
68%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
NK Slaven BelupoIstra 19611.2Goals per game1.8
2.1Conceded per game1.5
1.08Points per game1.33
33%Win rate33%
-11Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
NK Slaven Belupo form
LWLWLH Istra 19610–2
A NK Varazdin1–2
H Dinamo Zagreb1–5
H HNK Rijeka4–1
A Olimpija Ljubljana2–1
Istra 1961 form
WDLWLA NK Slaven Belupo0–2
H HNK Hajduk Split2–2
A NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–0
A NK Osijek1–3
H HNK Gorica0–1
Head to head
1
NK
1
Draw
3
Istra
Oct 2026NK Slaven Belupo – Istra 19610–2
Aug 2026Istra 1961 – NK Slaven Belupo3–0
May 2026Istra 1961 – NK Slaven Belupo3–1
Feb 2026NK Slaven Belupo – Istra 19611–0
Nov 2025Istra 1961 – NK Slaven Belupo1–1
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model makes Istra 1961 slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.59 for NK Slaven Belupo, 1.91 for Istra 1961), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NK Slaven Belupo sit 7th on 13 points; Istra 1961 are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.