Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
CROHNL · Matchday 10Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas
NK Slaven Belupo
7th · 13 pts1–5FULL TIME
Dinamo Zagreb
2nd · 22 pts26% NK
22% Draw
52% Dinamo
OUR PICK
Dinamo Zagreb to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.92
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.91
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.91X4.4821.92
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
62%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
NK Slaven BelupoDinamo Zagreb1.2Goals per game2.3
2.1Conceded per game1.3
1.08Points per game2.00
33%Win rate64%
-11Goal difference11
7Form, last 5 (pts)9
NK Slaven Belupo form
LWLWLH Istra 19610–2
A NK Varazdin1–2
H Dinamo Zagreb1–5
H HNK Rijeka4–1
A Olimpija Ljubljana2–1
Dinamo Zagreb form
LWLWWA Rudes1–0
H HNK Rijeka2–1
H NEC Nijmegen2–4
A NK Slaven Belupo1–5
H Anderlecht1–0
Head to head
0
NK
0
Draw
5
Dinamo
Oct 2026NK Slaven Belupo – Dinamo Zagreb1–5
Jul 2026Dinamo Zagreb – NK Slaven Belupo2–0
May 2026NK Slaven Belupo – Dinamo Zagreb1–4
Mar 2026Dinamo Zagreb – NK Slaven Belupo4–2
Dec 2025NK Slaven Belupo – Dinamo Zagreb2–5
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model makes Dinamo Zagreb slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.92 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.28 for NK Slaven Belupo, 1.91 for Dinamo Zagreb), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NK Slaven Belupo sit 7th on 13 points; Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.