Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
CROHNL · Matchday 11Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Opus Arena
NK Osijek
3rd · 20 pts0–1FULL TIME
Rudes
8th · 13 pts72% NK
15% Draw
13% Rudes
OUR PICK
NK Osijek to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.38
Expected goals
2.92 – 1.19
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.38X6.7427.85
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.15
1X
87%
Season stats
NK OsijekRudes1.8Goals per game1.3
1.4Conceded per game2.3
1.67Points per game1.08
50%Win rate33%
5Goal difference-12
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
NK Osijek form
WLDLDA NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–3
H Rudes0–1
H HNK Gorica1–1
H Istra 19611–3
H Bsk Bijelo Brdo1–1
Rudes form
WWLWDH Dinamo Zagreb1–0
A NK Osijek0–1
H HNK Rijeka1–2
A HNK Gorica1–2
H NK Slaven Belupo2–2
Head to head
4
NK
0
Draw
1
Rudes
Oct 2026NK Osijek – Rudes0–1
Aug 2026Rudes – NK Osijek1–6
Apr 2024Rudes – NK Osijek2–3
Jan 2024NK Osijek – Rudes2–0
Oct 2023NK Osijek – Rudes3–0
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model makes NK Osijek clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 15% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (2.92 for NK Osijek, 1.19 for Rudes), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NK Osijek sit 3rd on 20 points; Rudes are 8th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.