Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
CROHNL · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Opus Arena
NK Osijek
3rd · 20 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
HNK Hajduk Split
1st · 26 pts31% NK
24% Draw
45% HNK
OUR PICK
HNK Hajduk Split to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.21
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.71
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.22X4.2422.21
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
NK OsijekHNK Hajduk Split1.8Goals per game2.2
1.4Conceded per game0.9
1.67Points per game2.17
50%Win rate67%
5Goal difference15
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
NK Osijek form
WLDLDA NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–3
H Rudes0–1
H HNK Gorica1–1
H Istra 19611–3
H Bsk Bijelo Brdo1–1
HNK Hajduk Split form
WDWWWH HNK Gorica5–0
A Istra 19612–2
A FC Thun0–1
H NK Varazdin1–0
H Ajax2–1
Head to head
1
NK
0
Draw
4
HNK
Aug 2026HNK Hajduk Split – NK Osijek4–0
Apr 2026HNK Hajduk Split – NK Osijek0–1
Feb 2026NK Osijek – HNK Hajduk Split0–2
Nov 2025HNK Hajduk Split – NK Osijek2–0
Aug 2025NK Osijek – HNK Hajduk Split0–2
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Osijek12+520
4NK Varazdin12+519
5HNK Rijeka11+318
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12-611
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model makes HNK Hajduk Split slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.21 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.38 for NK Osijek, 1.71 for HNK Hajduk Split), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NK Osijek sit 3rd on 20 points; HNK Hajduk Split are 1st on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.