Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
CROHNL · Matchday 12Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Stadion Kranjčevićeva
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
9th · 11 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
NK Osijek
4th · 17 pts35% NK
25% Draw
41% NK
OUR PICK
NK Osijek to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.52
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.90X4.0522.45
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Osijek1.2Goals per game1.7
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.00Points per game1.55
27%Win rate45%
-4Goal difference3
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb form
No recent matches.
NK Osijek form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
NK
0
Draw
0
NK
These sides haven't met recently.
HNL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11+1122
3NK Varazdin11+518
4NK Osijek11+317
5HNK Rijeka10+317
6Istra 196112+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12-1113
8Rudes12-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb11-411
10HNK Gorica12-137
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35%, the draw 25%, NK Osijek 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.38 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, 1.52 for NK Osijek), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 9th on 11 points; NK Osijek are 4th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.