Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
56%
NGANPFL · Matchday 7Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Bako Kontagora Stadium
Niger Tornadoes
8th · 16 pts1–0FULL TIME
Kun Khalifat FC
16th · 12 pts49% Niger
30% Draw
20% Kun
OUR PICK
Niger Tornadoes to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.22 – 0.67
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.02X3.3124.91
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.52
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.52
NG
66%
Double chance@1.26
1X
80%
Season stats
Niger TornadoesKun Khalifat FC0.8Goals per game0.8
0.7Conceded per game1.5
1.45Points per game1.09
36%Win rate27%
1Goal difference-7
11Form, last 5 (pts)7
Niger Tornadoes form
DWWDWH Barau FC0–0
A Abia Warriors0–1
H Ikorodu City2–1
A Ranchers Bees0–0
H Kun Khalifat FC1–0
Kun Khalifat FC form
LWDWLA Enyimba1–0
H Inter Lagos1–0
A Doma United1–1
H Shooting Stars2–0
A Niger Tornadoes1–0
Head to head
1
Niger
1
Draw
1
Kun
Oct 2026Niger Tornadoes – Kun Khalifat FC1–0
Feb 2026Kun Khalifat FC – Niger Tornadoes2–0
Oct 2025Niger Tornadoes – Kun Khalifat FC1–1
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Niger Tornadoes slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.22 for Niger Tornadoes, 0.67 for Kun Khalifat FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Niger Tornadoes sit 8th on 16 points; Kun Khalifat FC are 16th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.