Over 1.5 goals@1.92
Over 1.5
52%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 30Thursday, 8 October 2026 · Ngezi Baobab Stadium
Ngezi Platinum
3rd · 56 pts1–0FULL TIME
Highlanders
8th · 44 pts43% Ngezi
33% Draw
25% Highlanders
OUR PICK
Ngezi Platinum to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.04 – 0.71
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X3.0524.07
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.34
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
Ngezi PlatinumHighlanders1.2Goals per game0.8
0.8Conceded per game0.7
1.75Points per game1.38
44%Win rate28%
13Goal difference4
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Ngezi Platinum form
DWWDDH Dynamos1–1
A Bulawayo Chiefs0–2
H Highlanders1–0
A TelOne2–2
H Hunters0–0
Highlanders form
DDLLDA Hunters1–1
H Manica Diamonds0–0
A Ngezi Platinum1–0
H Hardrock0–1
A Triangle United0–0
Head to head
1
Ngezi
4
Draw
0
Highlanders
Oct 2026Ngezi Platinum – Highlanders1–0
May 2026Highlanders – Ngezi Platinum0–0
Aug 2025Highlanders – Ngezi Platinum1–1
Apr 2025Ngezi Platinum – Highlanders0–0
Aug 2024Highlanders – Ngezi Platinum1–1
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Ngezi Platinum slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.04 for Ngezi Platinum, 0.71 for Highlanders), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ngezi Platinum sit 3rd on 56 points; Highlanders are 8th on 44.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.