Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 13Monday, 19 October 2026 · Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Newells Old Boys
14th · 15 pts2–1FULL TIME
Central Cordoba de Santiago
13th · 16 pts40% Newells
29% Draw
31% Central
OUR PICK
Newells Old Boys to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.51
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.02
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.51X3.4623.20
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.61
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.80
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.80
NG
56%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
Newells Old BoysCentral Cordoba de Santiago0.9Goals per game0.7
1.7Conceded per game1.3
0.94Points per game1.00
19%Win rate25%
-12Goal difference-10
6Form, last 5 (pts)2
Newells Old Boys form
DDWLDH Union Santa Fe1–1
A San Lorenzo0–0
H Central Cordoba de Santiago2–1
A Gimnasia M.1–0
H Lanus0–0
Central Cordoba de Santiago form
LLLDDA Platense2–0
H Velez Sarsfield0–5
A Newells Old Boys2–1
H Estudiantes L.P.2–2
A Deportivo Riestra1–1
Head to head
2
Newells
1
Draw
2
Central
Oct 2026Newells Old Boys – Central Cordoba de Santiago2–1
Apr 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago – Newells Old Boys1–3
Aug 2025Newells Old Boys – Central Cordoba de Santiago1–1
Feb 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago – Newells Old Boys2–0
Nov 2024Newells Old Boys – Central Cordoba de Santiago2–3
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Newells Old Boys 40%, the draw 29%, Central Cordoba de Santiago 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.19 for Newells Old Boys, 1.02 for Central Cordoba de Santiago), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Newells Old Boys sit 14th on 15 points; Central Cordoba de Santiago are 13th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.