Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 31Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Sports Illustrated Stadium
New York Red Bulls
2–0FULL TIME
Inter Miami
25% New
19% Draw
56% Inter
OUR PICK
Inter Miami to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
1.59 – 2.42
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.03X5.1921.79
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.38NG3.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.38
GG
73%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
New York Red Bulls form
LLWLLA Nashville SC3–2
A New England Revolution3–2
H Inter Miami2–0
H Toronto FC0–2
A DC United2–1
Inter Miami form
WDLWWA New England Revolution1–2
H FC Cincinnati2–2
A New York Red Bulls2–0
A Atlanta United FC1–3
H New York City FC2–0
Head to head
1
New
1
Draw
3
Inter
Oct 2026New York Red Bulls – Inter Miami2–0
Apr 2026Inter Miami – New York Red Bulls2–2
Jul 2025New York Red Bulls – Inter Miami1–5
May 2025Inter Miami – New York Red Bulls4–1
May 2024Inter Miami – New York Red Bulls6–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Inter Miami clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (1.59 for New York Red Bulls, 2.42 for Inter Miami), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.