Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 30Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Yankee Stadium
New York City FC
1–1FULL TIME
Los Angeles FC
6th · 47 pts37% New
27% Draw
36% Los
OUR PICK
New York City FC to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.70
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.70X3.6622.81
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
New York City FC form
DWDDLH CF Montreal1–1
H Atlanta United FC2–1
A Orlando City SC2–2
H Los Angeles FC1–1
A Inter Miami2–0
Los Angeles FC form
LDDWDH Minnesota United FC1–3
H Los Angeles Galaxy2–2
A New York City FC1–1
H Austin3–1
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–1
Head to head
0
New
4
Draw
1
Los
Oct 2026New York City FC – Los Angeles FC1–1
Feb 2026Los Angeles FC – New York City FC1–1
Mar 2025Los Angeles FC – New York City FC1–0
Jan 2023Los Angeles FC – New York City FC1–1
Jan 2023New York City FC – Los Angeles FC1–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: New York City FC 37%, the draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.24 for New York City FC, 1.21 for Los Angeles FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.