Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 33Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Citi Field
New York City FC
1–1FULL TIME
CF Montreal
64% New
20% Draw
16% CF
OUR PICK
New York City FC to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
2.07 – 0.91
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.56X4.9426.40
Goals 2.5Over1.75Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.19
1X
84%
New York City FC form
No recent matches.
CF Montreal form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
New
0
Draw
0
CF
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes New York City FC clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.07 for New York City FC, 0.91 for CF Montreal), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.