Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 28Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Boston Stadium
New England Revolution
0–3FULL TIME
Seattle Sounders
9th · 43 pts52% New
25% Draw
23% Seattle
OUR PICK
New England Revolution to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.91
Expected goals
1.59 – 0.95
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.91X3.9824.43
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.87
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.95
NG
51%
Double chance@1.29
1X
77%
New England Revolution form
WWWWLH New York Red Bulls3–2
A Philadelphia Union1–2
H Chicago Fire1–0
A FC Cincinnati2–3
H Seattle Sounders0–3
Seattle Sounders form
LLDDLA Vancouver Whitecaps4–1
H Houston Dynamo0–1
A San Diego2–2
H CF Montreal1–1
A FC Dallas1–0
Head to head
0
New
3
Draw
2
Seattle
Oct 2026New England Revolution – Seattle Sounders0–3
Jul 2024Seattle Sounders – New England Revolution2–0
Aug 2019Seattle Sounders – New England Revolution3–3
Jul 2018New England Revolution – Seattle Sounders0–0
Apr 2017Seattle Sounders – New England Revolution3–3
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes New England Revolution slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.91 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.59 for New England Revolution, 0.95 for Seattle Sounders), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.