Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen
20th · 4 pts18:45KICK-OFF WAT
Omonia Nicosia
11th · 6 pts35% NEC
22% Draw
43% Omonia
OUR PICK
Omonia Nicosia to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.33
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.87
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.85X4.5422.33
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.45NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.45
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
NEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia1.7Goals per game1.7
2.7Conceded per game1.3
1.33Points per game2.00
33%Win rate67%
-3Goal difference1
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
NEC Nijmegen form
LDWDDA Heerenveen1–0
H Groningen2–2
A Dinamo Zagreb2–4
H Fortuna Sittard2–2
H Levski Sofia1–1
Omonia Nicosia form
WLLDWH AEL2–0
A AEK Larnaca2–0
H Benfica1–4
H Olympiakos2–2
A Celje0–3
Head to head
0
NEC
0
Draw
0
Omonia
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: NEC Nijmegen 35%, the draw 22%, Omonia Nicosia 43%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.33 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.68 for NEC Nijmegen, 1.87 for Omonia Nicosia), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NEC Nijmegen sit 20th on 4 points; Omonia Nicosia are 11th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.