Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 1Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Nchanga Stadium
Nchanga Rangers
2nd · 0 pts0–1FULL TIME
Zanaco
1st · 0 pts44% Nchanga
25% Draw
30% Zanaco
OUR PICK
Nchanga Rangers to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Nchanga RangersZanaco0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Nchanga Rangers form
DWLLH Man Utd Zambia Academy0–0
A NAPSA Stars0–1
A Nkana2–0
A Power Dynamos1–0
Zanaco form
WWDLA Trident2–3
H Kansanshi Dynamos3–0
H NAPSA Stars1–1
H Konkola Blades2–3
Head to head
1
Nchanga
2
Draw
2
Zanaco
Oct 2026Nchanga Rangers – Zanaco0–1
May 2026Zanaco – Nchanga Rangers1–0
Jan 2026Nchanga Rangers – Zanaco0–0
Apr 2025Nchanga Rangers – Zanaco2–0
Dec 2024Zanaco – Nchanga Rangers1–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes Nchanga Rangers slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Nchanga Rangers, 1.21 for Zanaco), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nchanga Rangers sit 2nd on 0 points; Zanaco are 1st on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.