Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
BRASerie B · Matchday 37Sunday, 8 November 2026
Nautico Recife
15th · 46 pts01:30KICK-OFF WAT
CRB
6th · 55 pts39% Nautico
25% Draw
36% CRB
OUR PICK
Nautico Recife to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.55X4.0522.77
Goals 2.5Over1.80Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Nautico RecifeCRB1.1Goals per game1.5
1.3Conceded per game1.4
1.28Points per game1.53
33%Win rate44%
-6Goal difference3
4Form, last 5 (pts)7
Nautico Recife form
WLDLLH Avai1–0
A Juventude4–0
A Goias0–0
H Vila Nova0–2
H Novorizontino0–2
CRB form
LWLDWA Goias2–1
H Londrina2–1
H Botafogo SP0–1
A Fortaleza EC2–2
H Atletico Goianiense3–1
Head to head
2
Nautico
2
Draw
1
CRB
Jul 2026CRB – Nautico Recife2–1
Mar 2024Nautico Recife – CRB1–1
Feb 2023Nautico Recife – CRB2–2
Aug 2022Nautico Recife – CRB2–1
Apr 2022CRB – Nautico Recife1–2
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB36+355
7Goias36-355
8Sport Recife36+955
9Atletico Goianiense36+955
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Nautico Recife 39%, the draw 25%, CRB 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.49 for Nautico Recife, 1.42 for CRB), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nautico Recife sit 15th on 46 points; CRB are 6th on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.