Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
68%
NGANPFL · Matchday 12Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Lafia Township Stadium
Nasarawa United
5th · 17 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Plateau United
6th · 16 pts39% Nasarawa
28% Draw
33% Plateau
OUR PICK
Nasarawa United to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.13
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.58X3.5922.99
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.73
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
Nasarawa UnitedPlateau United1.0Goals per game1.6
0.9Conceded per game1.3
1.55Points per game1.45
45%Win rate36%
1Goal difference4
10Form, last 5 (pts)5
Nasarawa United form
LWWWDA Kano Pillars2–0
H Enyimba1–0
A Inter Lagos0–2
H Doma United2–0
A Shooting Stars0–0
Plateau United form
DDLWLH Warri Wolves1–1
A Katsina United2–2
H Sporting Lagos2–3
H Kano Pillars4–0
A Enyimba2–0
Head to head
3
Nasarawa
1
Draw
1
Plateau
Jun 2026Nasarawa United – Plateau United2–1
May 2026Nasarawa United – Plateau United1–0
Dec 2025Plateau United – Nasarawa United0–0
Apr 2025Nasarawa United – Plateau United3–2
Nov 2024Plateau United – Nasarawa United2–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Nasarawa United 39%, the draw 28%, Plateau United 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.24 for Nasarawa United, 1.13 for Plateau United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nasarawa United sit 5th on 17 points; Plateau United are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.