Over 1.5 goals@1.50
Over 1.5
67%
NGANPFL · Matchday 10Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Lafia Township Stadium
Nasarawa United
5th · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Enyimba
17th · 11 pts46% Nasarawa
28% Draw
27% Enyimba
OUR PICK
Nasarawa United to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.19
Expected goals
1.34 – 0.95
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.19X3.6023.77
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.67
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.83
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.67
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.83
NG
55%
Double chance@1.36
1X
73%
Season stats
Nasarawa UnitedEnyimba1.0Goals per game1.1
0.9Conceded per game1.4
1.55Points per game1.00
45%Win rate27%
1Goal difference-3
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Nasarawa United form
LWWWDA Kano Pillars2–0
H Enyimba1–0
A Inter Lagos0–2
H Doma United2–0
A Shooting Stars0–0
Enyimba form
WLDLWH Kun Khalifat FC1–0
A Nasarawa United1–0
H Warri Wolves0–0
A Katsina United4–2
H Plateau United2–0
Head to head
2
Nasarawa
2
Draw
1
Enyimba
Oct 2026Nasarawa United – Enyimba1–0
Jan 2026Nasarawa United – Enyimba1–1
Sept 2025Enyimba – Nasarawa United0–0
May 2025Nasarawa United – Enyimba3–2
Jan 2025Enyimba – Nasarawa United2–1
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Nasarawa United slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.34 for Nasarawa United, 0.95 for Enyimba), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nasarawa United sit 5th on 17 points; Enyimba are 17th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.