Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 3Wednesday, 14 October 2026
NAPSA Stars
6th · 0 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Nkana
3rd · 0 pts44% NAPSA
25% Draw
30% Nkana
OUR PICK
NAPSA Stars to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
NAPSA StarsNkana0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
NAPSA Stars form
DLDDA Kansanshi Dynamos2–2
H Nchanga Rangers0–1
A Zanaco1–1
A Trident0–0
Nkana form
DLWWA Power Dynamos0–0
A Konkola Blades2–0
H Nchanga Rangers2–0
H Makeni All Stars4–1
Head to head
2
NAPSA
1
Draw
2
Nkana
Apr 2026NAPSA Stars – Nkana1–1
Nov 2025Nkana – NAPSA Stars1–0
Jan 2025Nkana – NAPSA Stars0–1
Sept 2024NAPSA Stars – Nkana0–1
Mar 2024NAPSA Stars – Nkana1–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes NAPSA Stars slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for NAPSA Stars, 1.21 for Nkana), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NAPSA Stars sit 6th on 0 points; Nkana are 3rd on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.