Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 5Saturday, 24 October 2026
NAPSA Stars
6th · 0 pts0–1FULL TIME
Nchanga Rangers
2nd · 0 pts44% NAPSA
25% Draw
30% Nchanga
OUR PICK
NAPSA Stars to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
NAPSA StarsNchanga Rangers0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
NAPSA Stars form
DLDDA Kansanshi Dynamos2–2
H Nchanga Rangers0–1
A Zanaco1–1
A Trident0–0
Nchanga Rangers form
DWLLH Man Utd Zambia Academy0–0
A NAPSA Stars0–1
A Nkana2–0
A Power Dynamos1–0
Head to head
1
NAPSA
2
Draw
2
Nchanga
Oct 2026NAPSA Stars – Nchanga Rangers0–1
Mar 2026NAPSA Stars – Nchanga Rangers0–1
Oct 2025Nchanga Rangers – NAPSA Stars1–1
Feb 2025Nchanga Rangers – NAPSA Stars0–0
Sept 2024NAPSA Stars – Nchanga Rangers3–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes NAPSA Stars slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for NAPSA Stars, 1.21 for Nchanga Rangers), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
NAPSA Stars sit 6th on 0 points; Nchanga Rangers are 2nd on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.