Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stade de la Beaujoire
Nantes
15th · 9 pts0–0FULL TIME
Reims
4th · 21 pts22% Nantes
20% Draw
58% Reims
OUR PICK
Reims to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.28 – 2.17
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.55X4.9021.74
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.56NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.56
GG
64%
Double chance@1.26
12
80%
Season stats
NantesReims1.1Goals per game2.0
1.6Conceded per game1.1
0.82Points per game1.91
18%Win rate45%
-6Goal difference10
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
Nantes form
DLLDWH Clermont Foot1–1
A Saint Etienne1–0
H Dunkerque2–3
H Reims0–0
A Boulogne1–2
Reims form
WDWDLH Sochaux2–0
A Boulogne1–1
H Dijon4–2
A Nantes0–0
A Anderlecht3–0
Head to head
1
Nantes
2
Draw
2
Reims
Oct 2026Nantes – Reims0–0
Feb 2025Reims – Nantes1–2
Sept 2024Nantes – Reims1–2
Jan 2024Reims – Nantes0–0
Nov 2023Nantes – Reims0–1
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3Nancy11+722
4Reims11+1021
5PAU11+520
6RED Star FC 9311-217
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Reims clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.28 for Nantes, 2.17 for Reims), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nantes sit 15th on 9 points; Reims are 4th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.