Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 11Friday, 30 October 2026 · Stade de la Beaujoire
Nantes
15th · 9 pts1–1FULL TIME
Clermont Foot
17th · 8 pts43% Nantes
27% Draw
30% Clermont
OUR PICK
Nantes to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X3.6923.31
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.97
NG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
NantesClermont Foot1.1Goals per game0.9
1.6Conceded per game1.4
0.82Points per game0.73
18%Win rate0%
-6Goal difference-5
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
Nantes form
No recent matches.
Clermont Foot form
DLDLLA Nantes1–1
H Guingamp0–2
A Laval3–3
H RED Star FC 932–3
A Auxerre4–3
Head to head
0
Nantes
0
Draw
0
Clermont
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Nantes slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.35 for Nantes, 1.09 for Clermont Foot), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nantes sit 15th on 9 points; Clermont Foot are 17th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.