Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
57%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 12Friday, 6 November 2026 · Stade Marcel Picot
Nancy
4th · 19 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
Sochaux
13th · 11 pts53% Nancy
29% Draw
18% Sochaux
OUR PICK
Nancy to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.29 – 0.61
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X3.4225.68
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.21
1X
82%
Season stats
NancySochaux1.2Goals per game0.8
0.8Conceded per game1.2
1.90Points per game1.10
60%Win rate20%
4Goal difference-4
12Form, last 5 (pts)5
Nancy form
WWWLWH Laval1–0
A Annecy1–2
H Guingamp1–0
A FC Saarbrücken2–1
A Rodez3–4
Sochaux form
LLDWDH Annecy1–3
A Metz3–2
H Boulogne1–1
H Neuchatel Xamax FC2–1
A Laval1–1
Head to head
2
Nancy
1
Draw
2
Sochaux
Feb 2025Nancy – Sochaux1–0
Sept 2024Sochaux – Nancy2–3
Apr 2024Sochaux – Nancy4–1
Nov 2023Nancy – Sochaux1–1
Apr 2022Sochaux – Nancy1–0
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Nancy clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.29 for Nancy, 0.61 for Sochaux), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nancy sit 4th on 19 points; Sochaux are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.