Over 1.5 goals@2.06
Over 1.5
48%
KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 5Sunday, 1 November 2026
Nairobi United
15th · 3 pts1–1HALF TIME
Bandari
16th · 3 pts40% Nairobi
35% Draw
26% Bandari
OUR PICK
Nairobi United to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.51
Expected goals
0.94 – 0.69
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.51X2.9023.90
Goals 2.5Over4.29Under1.29
Both scoreGG3.14NG1.44
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Under 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.44
NG
70%
Double chance@1.35
1X
74%
Season stats
Nairobi UnitedBandari1.3Goals per game0.3
1.5Conceded per game0.5
0.75Points per game0.75
0%Win rate0%
-1Goal difference-1
3Form, last 5 (pts)3
Nairobi United form
No recent matches.
Bandari form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Nairobi
0
Draw
0
Bandari
These sides haven't met recently.
FKF Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1GOR Mahia4+512
2KCB4+27
3Murang'a SEAL4+26
4Mara Sugar4+16
5AFC Leopards4+16
6Shabana4+16
7APS Bomet4+25
8Kenya Police405
9Mathare United405
103K4-25
Match preview
Our model makes Nairobi United slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 35% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.94 for Nairobi United, 0.69 for Bandari), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Nairobi United sit 15th on 3 points; Bandari are 16th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.