Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
57%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 31Saturday, 17 October 2026
MWOS
7th · 45 pts3–0FULL TIME
Triangle United
16th · 27 pts54% MWOS
29% Draw
17% Triangle
OUR PICK
MWOS to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.59
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.84X3.4525.96
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
67%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
MWOSTriangle United1.1Goals per game0.7
0.8Conceded per game1.2
1.41Points per game0.84
34%Win rate19%
9Goal difference-15
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
MWOS form
LWWLDA Hardrock3–2
H Triangle United3–0
A Herentals0–2
H CAPS United0–1
A Chicken Inn0–0
Triangle United form
WLDWDH Simba Bhora2–0
A MWOS3–0
H Dynamos1–1
A Bulawayo Chiefs1–2
H Highlanders0–0
Head to head
3
MWOS
1
Draw
0
Triangle
Oct 2026MWOS – Triangle United3–0
May 2026Triangle United – MWOS0–2
Nov 2025MWOS – Triangle United1–0
Jun 2025Triangle United – MWOS2–2
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes MWOS clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.31 for MWOS, 0.59 for Triangle United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MWOS sit 7th on 45 points; Triangle United are 16th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.