Over 1.5 goals@1.74
Over 1.5
57%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 33Saturday, 7 November 2026
MWOS
7th · 45 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Ngezi Platinum
3rd · 56 pts38% MWOS
31% Draw
31% Ngezi
OUR PICK
MWOS to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.65
Expected goals
1.03 – 0.90
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.65X3.1823.24
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.44
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.62
NG
62%
Double chance@1.45
1X
69%
Season stats
MWOSNgezi Platinum1.1Goals per game1.2
0.8Conceded per game0.8
1.41Points per game1.75
34%Win rate44%
9Goal difference13
7Form, last 5 (pts)9
MWOS form
LWWLDA Hardrock3–2
H Triangle United3–0
A Herentals0–2
H CAPS United0–1
A Chicken Inn0–0
Ngezi Platinum form
DWWDDH Dynamos1–1
A Bulawayo Chiefs0–2
H Highlanders1–0
A TelOne2–2
H Hunters0–0
Head to head
1
MWOS
0
Draw
2
Ngezi
Jun 2026Ngezi Platinum – MWOS1–0
Nov 2025MWOS – Ngezi Platinum3–2
Jun 2025Ngezi Platinum – MWOS3–1
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: MWOS 38%, the draw 31%, Ngezi Platinum 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.03 for MWOS, 0.90 for Ngezi Platinum), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MWOS sit 7th on 45 points; Ngezi Platinum are 3rd on 56.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.