Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 6Sunday, 8 November 2026
Murang'a SEAL
4th · 7 pts13:00KICK-OFF WAT
Ulinzi Stars
17th · 2 pts63% Murang'a
22% Draw
15% Ulinzi
OUR PICK
Murang'a SEAL to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.80
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.58X4.6426.61
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
Murang'a SEALUlinzi Stars2.2Goals per game0.3
1.8Conceded per game1.0
1.40Points per game0.50
40%Win rate0%
2Goal difference-3
7Form, last 5 (pts)2
Murang'a SEAL form
DWLWLA APS Bomet0–0
H Nairobi United3–2
A 3K2–1
H Posta Rangers FC5–1
A GOR Mahia4–2
Ulinzi Stars form
LDDLWA Kenya Police1–0
H Mara Sugar0–0
A Homeboyz1–1
H Tusker0–2
A Posta Rangers FC0–1
Head to head
3
Murang'a
0
Draw
2
Ulinzi
Jan 2026Ulinzi Stars – Murang'a SEAL0–2
Sept 2025Murang'a SEAL – Ulinzi Stars0–1
May 2025Murang'a SEAL – Ulinzi Stars3–2
Feb 2025Murang'a SEAL – Ulinzi Stars1–2
Aug 2024Ulinzi Stars – Murang'a SEAL0–1
FKF Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1GOR Mahia5+412
2KCB5+310
3AFC Leopards5+39
4Murang'a SEAL5+27
5Migori Youth4+26
6APS Bomet5+26
7Mara Sugar4+16
8Shabana4+16
9Kenya Police405
10Mathare United405
Match preview
Our model makes Murang'a SEAL clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.90 for Murang'a SEAL, 0.80 for Ulinzi Stars), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Murang'a SEAL sit 4th on 7 points; Ulinzi Stars are 17th on 2.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.